Wagers with Stacks
Welcome to Week 14 of Wagers with Stacks and the last week of the regular season. For many teams, this week is Rivalry Week! We’ve got some great matchups where there is a lot of bad blood between the two teams, and no one can afford a slip up when it comes to the teams trying to get into the College Football Playoff.
Week 13: 5-1
2019 Season: 23-23-2
We had a much needed, big week last week! We’ve once again climbed back out of the hole and are sitting at dead even. Time to keep that momentum rolling and get over the .500 mark. Let’s get after it….Week 14!
Louisville @ Kentucky (-3)
The rivalry between these two schools goes further than the hardwood. Both teams have earned bowl eligibility, but that’s not going to be enough for either of them. They want to be victorious in this battle for Bluegrass supremacy. Louisville has had an impressive turnaround this year following a 2-10 campaign in 2018. One of those losses included a 56-10 defeat against Kentucky, so there is definitely revenge in the minds of some of the Cardinals’ players. Currently, 64% of spread bets are in favor of the Wildcats. Kentucky has played well over the past month or so, but I just don’t see them being able to keep up with this high-powered Louisville offense. I’m going to ride that Louisville momentum in this one…give me the Cardinals at +3.
#1 Ohio State (-9) @ #13 Michigan
I know…I know. I said that I wouldn’t touch another Michigan game for the rest of the year, but how do you resist this matchup? It’s one of the biggest games of the year! Ohio State has looked dominant all season long, where Michigan’s season has been more of a roller coaster ride with many ups and downs. Michigan and Jim Harbaugh are 0-5 against Ohio State since the head coach took over the Wolverine program. Bettors seem to be fairly one-sided on this game as 78% of spread bets and 61% of moneyline wagers are in favor of the Buckeyes. There is no doubt in my mind that Ohio State is the better team in this one, but I’ve got to think that it’ll be somewhat of a close game. Harbaugh is at least due for that. I’m cheering for CFP chaos and hoping for a big upset. I’ll take Michigan at +9.
#5 Alabama @ #15 Auburn (Over/Under: 49)
There are a lot of questions heading into the Iron Bowl. Can Mac Jones play at an elite level against a quality opponent? Will we see another all-time great ending? Can Alabama find a way to sneak into the Top 4 and get into the CFP? All of the CFP controversy talk doesn’t matter if the Tide doesn’t win the Iron Bowl. The line in this game is Alabama -3.5, and honestly the money is too close and there are just too many unanswered questions heading into this one for me to be confident at all in picking a side in either direction. However, there is one thing that jumps off the page at me in this one. The total is listed at 49, and 90% of all the money on Over/Under wagers are in favor of the under. I get it…two great defenses and one of the best QBs in the country missing as well. I just can’t resist going against a 90% public bet. I’m going with Vegas…give me the Over at 49.
#12 Wisconsin @ #8 Minnesota (Over/Under: 44.5)
I’ll keep this one short and sweet. Much like the Iron Bowl, this one is also pretty close to call. I know that the weather is going to be very cold and will predominately be a rushing game for both teams, but whenever 80% of all Over/Under wagers are on the Under I’ll take the Over every time. I don’t know how they get to 45, and I don’t care how they get there…just get there. Give me the Over 44.5.
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee (-22)
Vanderbilt has won three in a row against the Vols. However, this year feels like the universe has reset itself and everything is back to normal as Tennessee is a 22-point favorite. This is the first time that Tennessee has been favored in an SEC contest since Jeremy Pruitt took over as the head coach. Given the recent history of this rivalry, I feel like 22 may be a little high. In Vegas, 72% of spread wagers have been made on the Volunteers and the more than three TD spread. The Vols are going to win and finish the year at 7-5 with a chance to get to 8 wins in a bowl game and send its seniors out on a high note. However, I think it’ll be an 18-21 point win. Give me Vandy at +22.
Texas A&M @ #2 LSU (-17)
Texas A&M has arguably played the most difficult schedule in the country. Their four losses have come to the hands of Clemson, Auburn, Alabama, and Georgia. That schedule doesn’t get any easier this week as they travel to Baton Rouge and face an undefeated Tigers team. The Aggies have been able to keep it close in just about every one of those losses. Currently, 69% of spread wagers are in favor of Joe Burrow and his Tiger offense. A victory in this one would essentially wrap up the Heisman trophy for Burrow. I believe that he’ll get that victory and win his Heisman award. However, I think A&M keeps it a little closer than most would expect. Give me the Aggies at +17.
That’s all we’ve got for this week. We’ll be back next week for the conference championship games! Good luck to all the bettors out there.
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